Calculate return on investment (ROI) for trade school vs 4-year college. Compare total costs, graduation rates, time to degree, starting salaries, and lifetime earnings for electrician, plumber, HVAC, welding, nursing, and other skilled trades. Determine payback period and break-even point with 2025 tuition data and job market statistics.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the average ROI of trade school compared to a 4-year college degree in 2025?
**Trade school ROI (2025 data)**: **Average trade school**: Total cost $5,000-33,000 (6 months-2 years), starting salary $35,000-75,000, break-even in 6 months-3 years, lifetime earnings $1.5-2.5 million. **Average 4-year college**: Total cost $80,000-200,000 (public in-state to private), starting salary $45,000-65,000, break-even in 8-15 years, lifetime earnings $2.0-3.0 million. **ROI comparison (high-demand trades)**: **Electrician trade school**: Cost $10,000-15,000 (1-2 year apprenticeship program), starting wage $20-25/hour ($41,600-52,000/year), journeyman (year 4-5) $28-40/hour ($58,240-83,200), master electrician $40-60/hour ($83,200-124,800), lifetime earnings $2.2-3.5 million, **break-even 1-2 years**, ROI 800-1,400% over career. **HVAC technician**: Cost $5,000-15,000 (6-18 month program), starting $18-24/hour ($37,440-49,920), experienced $25-40/hour ($52,000-83,200), lifetime earnings $1.8-2.8 million, break-even 6 months-1 year, ROI 600-1,000%. **Plumber**: Cost $8,000-20,000 (apprenticeship + training), starting $20-28/hour ($41,600-58,240), licensed $30-50/hour ($62,400-104,000), lifetime earnings $2.0-3.2 million, break-even 1-2 years, ROI 700-1,200%. **Welding**: Cost $5,000-15,000 (6-12 months), starting $18-25/hour ($37,440-52,000), certified specialty $30-45/hour ($62,400-93,600), lifetime earnings $1.6-2.4 million, break-even 6 months-1 year, ROI 500-900%. **Nursing (LPN/RN)**: LPN cost $10,000-25,000 (12-18 months), starting $45,000-55,000, RN cost $15,000-40,000 (2-year ADN), starting $60,000-80,000, BSN holders $70,000-90,000, lifetime earnings $2.5-3.8 million, break-even 1-3 years, ROI 800-1,500%. **Business degree (comparison)**: Cost $80,000-150,000 (4 years), starting $45,000-60,000, mid-career $70,000-100,000, lifetime earnings $2.0-2.8 million, break-even 8-12 years, ROI 200-400%. **Key advantages of trades**: Enter workforce 2-4 years earlier (earning while college students paying tuition), little to no student debt ($15k avg vs $30-40k college), high demand (skilled trades shortage 2025), recession-resistant (essential services), entrepreneurship potential (start own business after 5-10 years). **College advantages**: Higher ceiling (executive/management $150k-500k+), white-collar work (less physical wear), broader career flexibility, social prestige (though declining). **Best ROI trades 2025**: Solar panel installer (cost $5k, starting $45k, growth +48% to 2031), wind turbine technician (cost $8k, starting $56k, growth +44%), dental hygienist (cost $20k, starting $77k, growth +9%), elevator installer (cost $12k, starting $88k, limited openings but highest pay).
How long does it take to break even on trade school tuition compared to going straight to work?
**Break-even formula**: (Trade school tuition + opportunity cost of not working during training) ÷ (post-trade school salary - pre-trade school salary) = **Years to break even**. **Scenario 1 - Electrician (typical timeline)**: No trade school: High school grad working retail $15/hour = $31,200/year.
Trade school path: Year 1: Pay $12,000 tuition + forego $31,200 work = **-$43,200 total cost**.
Year 2: Apprentice electrician $20/hour = $41,600 (earning while learning).
Year 3: Apprentice $24/hour = $49,920.
Year 4: Journeyman $32/hour = $66,560.
Break-even calculation: -$43,200 (year 1 cost) + $10,400 extra (year 2, $41.6k - $31.2k) + $18,720 extra (year 3) = break-even in **Year 3** (cumulative earnings catch up).
By year 5: Earning $35,360 more/year than retail = **total $50k ahead** of non-trade school path. **Scenario 2 - HVAC (fast break-even)**: No school: Work warehouse $16/hour = $33,280/year.
Trade school: 6-month program $8,000 tuition, work part-time earning $15,000 during training = net cost $8,000 - $15,000 + $16,640 opportunity cost (half year) = -$9,640.
Year 1 (second half): HVAC tech $22/hour = $22,880 (half year) vs retail $16,640 = **+$6,240 advantage**.
Year 2: HVAC $45,760 vs retail $33,280 = +$12,480. **Break-even in 9 months** (total earnings equal).
By year 3: $25,000 ahead, year 5: $62,000 ahead. **Scenario 3 - Welding (immediate earnings)**: 9-month program $10,000, work weekends $8,000 during training = net cost -$2,000 - $24,960 opportunity cost (3/4 year) = -$26,960.
Starting welder $23/hour = $47,840 vs pre-school $14/hour warehouse = $29,120 = **+$18,720 gain year 1**. **Break-even in 1.4 years** (17 months).
By year 5: $93,600 ahead. **Scenario 4 - Nursing LPN (longer but high value)**: 18-month program $18,000 tuition + $46,800 opportunity cost (1.5 years not working full-time) = -$64,800 total cost.
LPN starting $50,000 vs pre-nursing retail $32,000 = **+$18,000/year advantage**. **Break-even in 3.6 years**.
By year 10: $116,200 ahead.
If upgrade to RN (+$30k cost, 1 year), earning $70k vs $50k = extra $20k/year, pays back in 1.5 years, **total advantage $320k over 10 years**. **Factors speeding break-even**: Free/employer-sponsored training (apprenticeships with stipend, break-even immediate), work part-time during school (reduce opportunity cost 30-50%), high-demand location (wage premiums 20-40% in shortage areas like rural/Alaska), union programs (paid training + benefits). **Factors slowing break-even**: Low-wage starting markets (rural Midwest $12-15/hour less than urban coasts), part-time only work available initially (延长 payback), high cost programs (for-profit schools $30k+ vs community college $8k), need for additional certifications ($2k-5k more before full earning). **Comparison to 4-year college break-even**: Trade school: 6 months-3 years typical. 4-year degree: 8-15 years typical ($100k cost + 4 years opportunity = $180k total vs $35k extra/year = 5+ years + the 4 years in school = 9+ years). **15-year wealth comparison**: Trade school electrician: -$12k year 1, +$10k year 2-3, +$35k year 4-15 = **cumulative $390k net**.
College business grad: -$100k years 1-4, +$13k years 5-8, +$30k years 9-15 = **cumulative $180k net**.
Trade school ahead by **$210k at year 15**.
Which trade schools and programs have the best job placement rates and starting salaries in 2025?
**Top trade schools by placement rate (2024-2025 data)**: **#1 - Lincoln Tech (multiple locations)**: Placement rate 85-92% within 6 months, programs: Automotive Technology, HVAC, Electrical, Welding, Diesel, cost $20,000-35,000 (12-24 months), starting salaries $38,000-58,000, 95% employer satisfaction rating, partnerships with Ford, GM, Schneider Electric. **#2 - Universal Technical Institute (UTI)**: Placement 84-90%, programs: Automotive, Diesel, Collision Repair, Welding, Motorcycle/Marine, cost $25,000-45,000 (12-24 months), starting $40,000-62,000, manufacturer-specific training (BMW, Mercedes, Porsche add-ons), 12,000 employer network. **#3 - Tulsa Welding School**: Placement 89-94% (highest for welding), programs: Welding, Pipefitting, HVAC, Electrical, cost $15,000-28,000 (7-18 months), starting welders $42,000-68,000 (pipeline/underwater premium), VA-approved, hands-on 80% of program. **#4 - Northwest Lineman College**: Placement 96% (elite), program: Electrical Lineworker, cost $18,000-22,000 (15 weeks), starting $60,000-85,000 (highest-paid trade school grad), utility company partnerships, physically demanding but exceptional ROI. **#5 - Fortis Colleges (multiple campuses)**: Placement 78-86%, programs: Nursing (LPN/RN), Medical Assistant, Dental Hygiene, HVAC, Electrical, cost $15,000-35,000 (varies by program), healthcare grads $45,000-70,000 starting, regional accreditation, federal aid eligible. **Community college programs (best value)**: **Houston Community College - Welding**: Cost $5,000-8,000 (associates), placement 88%, starting $45,000-65,000. **Ivy Tech (Indiana) - HVAC**: Cost $6,000-10,000, placement 90%, starting $42,000-58,000. **Wake Tech (NC) - Electrical**: Cost $4,000-8,000 (in-state), placement 92%, starting $40,000-62,000. **Advantages**: Lowest cost (50-75% cheaper than private), financial aid eligible, regional reputation, can stack to 4-year if desired. **Union apprenticeships (best ROI - FREE + paid training)**: **IBEW (electrician)**: $0 tuition (union sponsors), paid apprentice $18-28/hour while learning (earn $45k-65k during 4-year program), placement 98% (automatic union job), journeyman $70k-120k depending on location, pension + benefits included, **best long-term ROI**. **UA (plumbers/pipefitters)**: $0 tuition, paid $16-26/hour during 4-5 year apprenticeship, placement 97%, journeyman $65k-110k, strongest job security. **SMART (sheet metal)**: $0 tuition, paid $17-25/hour, 4-year program, placement 96%, journeyman $60k-95k. **Requirements**: Age 18+, high school diploma/GED, pass aptitude test, drug test, physical requirements, waiting list 6-18 months (high demand). **Highest starting salaries by program type 2025**: Elevator installer/repairer: $88,000 avg starting (but limited openings, 4-year apprenticeship).
Radiation therapist (associates degree): $85,000 (2-year program, high demand medical field).
Dental hygienist: $77,000 (2-year associates, excellent work-life balance).
Air traffic controller (FAA training): $75,000 (specialized, strict requirements).
Nuclear technician: $73,000 (2-year associates, security clearance needed).
Electrical power-line installer: $65,000 (15-week lineman school).
Diagnostic medical sonographer: $70,000 (2-year, healthcare). **Worst job placement rates (avoid)**: For-profit cosmetology schools: 45-60% placement, low pay $25k-35k, high debt $15k-25k.
Massage therapy: 50-65% placement, inconsistent income $28k-48k.
Graphic design trade programs: 55-70% placement, oversaturated field $32k-52k. **Due diligence checklist**: Verify placement rate (ask for data, accreditation requirement 70%+), check starting salary claims (ask for employer survey data), confirm accreditation (regional or national, not just state-level), understand total cost (tuition + fees + tools + books, hidden costs?), visit campus (talk to current students, see facilities), review job partners (actual hiring companies or just "network"?), compare to community college alternative (often 1/3 the cost with better outcomes).
Should I go to trade school or pursue a 4-year college degree for better long-term career prospects?
**Decision framework (choose trade school if 3+ apply)**: **Choose trade school if**: (1) Want to avoid student debt (>$30k loans would hurt financially). (2) Prefer hands-on work over desk/office environment. (3) Want to earn income within 6-24 months (not 4-6 years). (4) Interested in specific trade (electrician, plumber, HVAC, welding, nursing). (5) Don't enjoy traditional academics (struggled with high school, standardized tests). (6) Want to start own business eventually (trades offer entrepreneurship path). (7) Value job security in recession-proof field (essential services, cannot outsource). (8) Live in high-demand area for skilled trades (verify local job market). **Choose 4-year college if**: (1) Career requires bachelor's minimum (engineering, accounting, teaching, management). (2) Ambition for executive/professional role (CEO, doctor, lawyer, upper management). (3) Strong academic performance and enjoy learning theory (3.5+ GPA, high test scores). (4) Field has limited trade equivalent (computer science, finance, biotech). (5) Financial aid/scholarships available (make college affordable <$30k total debt). (6) Want broad career flexibility (change industries easily). (7) Family/social pressure significant (consider but not determinative). (8) Plan graduate school anyway (need bachelor's first for MBA/law/medical). **Hybrid approaches (best of both)**: **Start trade, add degree later**: Work as electrician 5 years while taking online business classes part-time, open electrical contracting company with business knowledge, combine hands-on expertise + management skills = **$150k-300k potential** vs $60k-80k employee electrician. **Associates degree then bachelor's**: Community college 2 years (general ed + trade certification), transfer to 4-year for business/engineering, total cost $40k-60k vs $100k+ straight to university, graduate debt-free with trade as backup. **Military → trade training → college**: Enlist 4 years, get free trade training (vehicle mechanic, electrician, electronics), use GI Bill for free college after, start career at 22-26 with skills + degree + $0 debt. **Apprenticeship + online degree**: Work paid union apprenticeship (electrician/plumber) while taking online bachelor's (business, management), graduate age 24-25 with journeyman card + bachelor's + $0 debt + 4 years experience = **top 5% career position**. **Earnings over 40-year career (age 18-58)**: **Trade school electrician**: Years 1-2 training earning $40k-50k, years 3-20 journeyman $65k-85k, years 21-30 master electrician $90k-120k, years 31-40 contractor/owner $120k-200k+ (if start business). **Total lifetime earnings**: $3.8-5.5 million.
Retirement at 58 with $800k-1.5M saved (if disciplined). **4-year college business grad**: Years 1-4 $0 (in school), years 5-10 entry/associate $50k-70k, years 11-25 manager $80k-120k, years 26-40 senior/director $130k-200k (if promoted). **Total lifetime earnings**: $3.5-5.0 million (similar to trade!).
Retirement $700k-1.3M saved. **Key difference**: Trade school person starts earning at 18, college grad at 22-23 = **4-year head start** = $160k-250k extra early earnings + compound interest = **significant wealth advantage** even if same lifetime total. **Lifestyle considerations**: **Trade advantages**: Physical activity (health benefits), tangible results (see completed work), client interaction (relationship-based), flexibility (self-employment easier), no corporate politics. **Trade disadvantages**: Physical wear on body (knees/back issues age 50+, need to transition to management/inspection), weather exposure (outdoor work), irregular hours (emergency calls, weekends), economic cycles (construction slowdowns). **College advantages**: Indoor/office comfort, career progression clear (analyst→manager→director→VP), intellectual challenge, professional network, social prestige (declining but still exists). **College disadvantages**: Student debt burden ($30k-200k), delayed earnings (4-6 years), competitive job market (oversaturation many fields), office politics, potential outsourcing/automation. **2025 market reality check**: **Oversaturated college fields** (too many grads, low pay): General business $45k-55k starting, liberal arts $35k-48k, psychology $40k-52k (unless graduate school), communications $38k-50k, criminal justice $38k-50k. **Undersupplied trades** (shortage, rising pay): Electricians (shortage 650,000 by 2027), HVAC (shortage 370,000), welders (shortage 400,000), plumbers (shortage 550,000), nursing (shortage 1.1 million). **Recommendation by situation**: **Age 18, unsure of career, limited funds**: Community college trade program 2 years ($8k-15k) → work 2-3 years → evaluate if want bachelor's → transfer credits if yes, keep working if no = **low-risk path**. **Age 18, clear professional ambition (doctor/lawyer/engineer)**: 4-year college required, minimize debt (scholarships, in-state public, work part-time) → graduate school if needed = **necessary investment**. **Age 25-35, career change, have family**: Trade school 6-18 months (nights/weekends while working) → transition to new career with minimal disruption = **practical choice**. **Age 18, entrepreneurial, hands-on**: Trade school → work 5-10 years → start own business → scale to 10-50 employees = **wealth-building path** (many trade business owners earn $200k-500k+). **Bottom line 2025**: Trade school is undervalued opportunity with **better ROI** than most bachelor's degrees for majority of students, especially if avoiding debt is priority and comfortable with physical work.
What are the hidden costs of trade school that affect the true ROI calculation?
**Beyond tuition - complete cost breakdown**: **Tuition and fees**: Advertised tuition $5,000-33,000 (program dependent), registration fees $100-500, technology fees $200-800, lab fees $500-2,000, graduation/certification fees $150-500. **Example**: Advertised $15,000 welding program → actual $18,350 with all fees (+22%). **Tools and equipment**: Personal tool set $500-3,000 (electrician/automotive higher, nursing lower), safety gear $200-600 (boots, gloves, glasses, clothing), specialty tools $300-1,500 (trade-specific), laptop/tablet $400-1,000 (if required for coursework). **Example**: HVAC program requires $1,800 in tools not included in $12,000 tuition → **actual $13,800** (+15%). **Books and materials**: Textbooks $400-1,200, workbooks/manuals $150-400, consumables (welding rods, practice materials) $200-800, online course access codes $100-300. **Total**: $850-2,700 typical. **Certification and licensing exams**: State licensing exam $150-500 (plumber, electrician required in most states), national certification (ASE automotive, EPA HVAC, AWS welding) $100-400 per test, study materials $50-200, retake fees if fail first attempt $100-400 (30% retake rate). **Example**: Electrician needs state journeyman exam $350 + study course $150 = **$500 not in tuition**. **Transportation and housing**: Commute costs $50-300/month (if no nearby program, gas/parking), relocation if needed $3,000-8,000 (security deposit, moving, first month), housing during training $600-1,500/month (dorms or rent). **Example**: Student relocates for 12-month program: $1,200/month rent × 12 = **$14,400 housing** (doubles total cost). **Opportunity cost (biggest hidden cost)**: Lost wages during training: 6-month program = $15,000-20,000 foregone (if would have worked full-time), 18-month program = $45,000-60,000 opportunity cost, part-time program reduces this (work while learning). **Example**: HVAC student age 22 earning $16/hour warehouse = $33,280/year × 1.5 years (18-month program) = **$49,920 opportunity cost** (far exceeds $12,000 tuition cost). **Work-related expenses (post-graduation)**: Union initiation fees $500-2,000 (if joining union after training), business licensing $200-800 (if starting own business later), commercial vehicle $15,000-40,000 (plumber/electrician contractors need work truck), liability insurance $800-3,000/year (required for independent contractors), continuing education $200-1,000/year (license renewal requirements). **Health and physical costs (long-term hidden cost)**: Physical therapy/medical $1,000-5,000/year (trades have 2-3× injury rate vs office work), earlier retirement age 60-62 vs 65-67 (physical limitations) = **3-5 years less income** = $180,000-400,000 opportunity cost over lifetime, potential disability (10% of tradespeople leave field due to injury by age 50). **Time costs**: Study time outside class 5-15 hours/week × 26-52 weeks = 130-780 hours unpaid study, job search time after graduation 20-120 hours (networking, applications, interviews), relocation time for job 40-80 hours if needed. **Financial costs during job search**: Living expenses 1-3 months post-graduation before first paycheck $3,000-12,000, first paycheck delay (2-4 weeks after start = need savings buffer), relocation to job location $1,000-5,000 if required. **Total hidden costs example (electrician program)**: Advertised tuition: $12,000.
Real costs: Registration $300, tools $2,200, books $800, licensing exam $500, commute $1,200 (6 months × $200), subtotal fees **$5,000**.
Opportunity cost: $33,000 (1 year foregone wages). **Total real cost: $50,000** (tuition + fees + opportunity) vs advertised $12,000 = **316% higher than advertised**. **How to minimize hidden costs**: **Tools**: Buy used tools on Craigslist/Facebook Marketplace (save 40-60%), borrow from family/friends initially, employer-provided tools (some companies supply), gradual purchase (buy as needed, not all upfront). **Books**: Rent textbooks (Chegg, Amazon, save 70%), buy previous edition (outdated but $10 vs $150), library copies (reference only, can't keep), digital versions (30-50% cheaper than hardcopy). **Opportunity cost**: Evening/weekend programs (keep day job, takes longer but earn while learning), online hybrid programs (work full-time, learn nights), employer-sponsored training (get paid to learn, may have contract commitment), military (free training + paycheck + GI Bill). **Housing**: Live with family (free/reduced rent), roommates (split $1,200 → $600 each = save $7,200/year), on-campus housing if available (cheaper than market rate). **Certifications**: Employer-paid testing (some companies reimburse licensing costs after hire), study groups (free vs paid courses), free practice exams online (NCCER, ASE, EPA sample tests). **Income during training strategies**: **Part-time work**: 20 hours/week at $15/hour = $15,600/year (covers living expenses, reduces opportunity cost by 50%). **Summer work**: Work full-time during summer breaks = $12,000-18,000 (if program has summer off). **Related field work**: Helper/apprentice position in same trade (electrician student works as helper 20 hours/week) = gain experience + income + networking. **Financial aid**: Pell Grant $4,000-7,495/year (free, income-dependent, trade schools eligible), state grants $500-4,000/year (varies by state), scholarships $500-5,000 (Mike Rowe WORK Ethic Scholarship, trade-specific), employer tuition assistance $1,000-5,250/year (Starbucks, Home Depot, UPS offer). **True ROI calculation with hidden costs**: Trade school electrician: Total cost $50,000 (tuition $12k + fees $5k + opportunity $33k).
Starting salary $52,000.
Year 1 net: $52,000 - $50,000 cost = **$2,000** (break-even).
Year 2: $56,000 salary - $33,000 (what would have earned without training) = **$23,000 advantage**.
Year 3-5: $25,000-35,000 advantage annually. **5-year ROI: 200%** ($100k total gain on $50k investment). **Compare to 4-year college**: Total cost $180,000 (tuition $100k + opportunity $80k for 4 years).
Starting salary $55,000.
Year 1-4: -$180,000 (still in school).
Year 5 net: $55,000 - $35,000 (what would have earned) = **$20,000 advantage**. **5-year ROI: -167%** (negative, still $80k in debt).
Break-even year 10-12. **Lesson**: Account for ALL costs including opportunity cost for accurate ROI comparison.
Can I make six figures in a trade without getting a 4-year degree, and how long does it take?
**Yes - multiple paths to $100k+ in trades without bachelor's degree**: **Path #1 - Overtime and specialization (fastest, 3-5 years)**: **Electrician**: Journeyman base $65,000-75,000 + overtime 10-20 hours/week at time-and-a-half = additional $16,900-39,000/year = **total $81,900-114,000** in year 4-5. **Specializations adding premium**: Industrial electrician +15-25% ($75k-93k base), high-voltage/lineman +30-50% ($85k-112k), instrumentation +20-35% ($78k-101k), solar installation +10-20% ($72k-90k). **Timeline**: Age 18 start trade school → 19 apprentice → 22 journeyman $70k → 24 specialize + overtime → **$105k by age 24-25** (6-7 years). **Path #2 - High-demand specialties (4-6 years)**: **Elevator mechanic**: 4-year apprenticeship (usually union), year 5 journeyman $85,000-120,000 base (highest-paid trade), major cities (NYC, SF, Chicago) $110k-150k with benefits, **hit $100k+ year 5-6**.
Limited openings (competitive entry). **Underwater welder**: Commercial diving school $10k-15k (6-12 months) + welding certification, offshore oil rig work $60k-80k first year, experienced $100k-200k (high risk = high pay), **$100k+ year 2-3** but dangerous (3-15% injury rate). **HVAC commercial specialist**: Residential HVAC $45k-65k, commercial/industrial $70k-95k, controls specialist (BAS/building automation) $85k-115k, **hit $100k year 6-8** with certifications (EPA Universal, NATE, manufacturer certs). **Path #3 - Business ownership (5-10 years)**: **Solo contractor**: Electrician works for company 5 years → gets master license + business license → starts own business age 25-27, solo electrician contractor charging $75-125/hour (vs employee earning $35/hour), work 30 billable hours/week = $117k-195k gross, minus expenses $30k-50k = **net $67k-145k** profit. **Small crew (2-5 employees)**: Year 8-10 hire 2-3 electricians, owner does estimates/project management + some field work, revenue $500k-1.2M, owner profit $120k-300k, **hit $100k+ year 8-10** if managed well. **Plumbing contractor example**: Age 20 start apprenticeship → 25 licensed plumber → 27 start LLC → 30 hire first employee → 32 have 3-person crew doing $750k/year revenue = **owner profit $180k** age 32 (12 years from start). **Path #4 - Union premium + location arbitrage (3-6 years)**: **Union electrician in high-cost city**: IBEW San Francisco journeyman $120,000-140,000 base (highest in country), NYC $95,000-125,000, Seattle $85,000-110,000, Chicago $80,000-105,000. **Timeline**: Age 18 enter IBEW apprenticeship → 22 journeyman → **$100k+ age 23-24** in top-paying markets. **Travel work**: Live in low-cost area (rent $800/month), take traveling jobs in high-cost cities (per diem $100-150/day covers hotel/food), earn high wages + per diem = **$90k-130k total comp** year 3-5. **Path #5 - Hybrid trade + technology (5-8 years)**: **Building Automation Specialist**: HVAC tech $55k base + learn BMS/controls (Siemens, Johnson Controls, Trane) + IT networking, smart building controls specialist $80k-115k, **$100k+ year 6-8**. **Industrial electrician + PLC programming**: Electrician learns programmable logic controllers (Allen Bradley, Siemens), manufacturing automation specialist $90k-130k, **$100k+ year 5-7**. **Solar + battery storage + smart grid**: Electrician specializes in renewable energy + storage systems, emerging field $75k-120k, **$100k+ year 6-8** as demand grows. **Realistic timelines by trade**: **Fastest to $100k (3-5 years)**: Elevator mechanic (year 5), union electrician top markets (year 4-5), underwater welder (year 3-4, but high danger), lineman/power-line worker (year 4-5). **Medium speed (5-8 years)**: Master electrician + business (year 6-8), HVAC specialist + controls (year 6-8), plumber + contractor (year 7-9), industrial electrician + PLC (year 6-8), instrumentation tech (year 6-7). **Slower but achievable (8-12 years)**: General contractor (start as carpenter/electrician, transition to GC) (year 10-12), building inspector (requires 10+ years experience, then $80k-120k government job), trade school instructor (10+ years experience, then $70k-110k teaching). **Prerequisites for six figures**: **Technical mastery**: Top 20% skill level in your trade (fast, efficient, quality work, few callbacks), multiple certifications (specialized credentials command premium), problem-solving ability (complex jobs pay more). **Business acumen**: Know your numbers (job costing, profitability, pricing), estimate accurately (win profitable work, not just any work), customer service (referrals = free marketing = more profitable jobs). **Work ethic**: Overtime availability (10-20 hours/week at 1.5× = huge income boost), reliability (show up on time, finish on schedule = reputation = better jobs), continuous learning (new technologies, codes, methods = stay valuable). **Networking**: Industry relationships (general contractors, property managers = steady work pipeline), supplier relationships (better pricing = more profit margin), licensing/permits knowledge (navigate bureaucracy faster). **Percentage reaching $100k+**: Electricians: 20-25% reach $100k+ by year 10 (specialization or business).
Plumbers: 15-22% (many stay $60k-80k employee, business owners hit $100k+).
HVAC: 12-18% (most residential stay $50k-70k, commercial specialists break $100k).
Welders: 8-15% (specialty/travel/underwater hit $100k, shop welders $45k-65k).
Elevator mechanics: 60-70% (highest percentage, limited field entry).
Linemen: 40-50% (many hit $100k+ with overtime, dangerous job). **Non-six-figure trades (unlikely to hit $100k)**: General carpenter $35k-65k (rare to exceed $80k even with experience).
Auto mechanic $35k-75k (flat-rate limits income, dealership tops $70k-85k).
Painter $30k-60k (hard to scale income, physical limits).
Roofer $35k-70k (seasonal, hard physical work, aging out early).
Landscaper $28k-65k (seasonal, weather-dependent, hard to scale solo). **Bottom line**: $100k+ achievable in most trades within 5-10 years through combination of specialization, overtime, location choice, certifications, and/or business ownership.
Easier in high-demand trades (electrician, elevator, HVAC) and high-cost markets.
Requires being top performer, not average.
Compare to 4-year degree: Many college grads never reach $100k (psychology, education, social work, liberal arts cap at $50k-75k), while skilled trades have clearer path if willing to work hard and smart.
About This Page
Editorial & Updates
- Author: SuperCalc Editorial Team
- Reviewed: SuperCalc Editors (clarity & accuracy)
- Last updated: 2026-01-13
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This calculator is for general informational and educational purposes only. Results are estimates based on your inputs and standard formulas.